Android to rule the roost in 2016, followed by iOS and Windows Phone

Android to rule the roost in 2016, followed by iOS and Windows Phone# Oh crystal ball, crystal ball, save us all, tell me life is beautiful # Wee bit of Keane for you there.

The analysts at IDC have been staring into their crystal ball once again, and – surprise, surprise – their predictions for smartphone market share come 2016 remain pretty much unchanged.

In particular, that means we have Google’s Android remaining in first place, Apple's iOS in second (still), and Microsoft’s thus-far-lacklustre Windows Phone screaming into third.

If we’re talking exact percentages (they’re very precise at IDC), they reckon Windows Phone will grow to 11.4%, a fairly significant leap – largely at the expense of Android. Google’s OS is expected to drop from 68.3% in 2012 to 63.8% in 2016.

As for iOS and BlackBerry OS, they’re expected to fluctuate by less than 1% from now till 2016, ending on 19.1% and 4.1% respectively.

It’s worth remembering how fickle the smartphone world is. A few years ago it was all about Symbian and BlackBerry, while the ubiquitous Android is in fact only four years old. Anything could happen between now and 2016.

And heck, it’d be pretty depressing if nothing happened, other than Windows Phone creeping up a few points. IDC acknowledges that Samsung’s Tizen and Jolla’s Sailfish are brewing away in the background. You never know…

via: IDC

Read more about: AndroidiOSWindows PhoneBlackberry OS

Add a comment
14 comments

JanSt / MOD  Dec. 6, 2012 at 19:15

2016, eh? ;)
Like we knew 4 years ago of WP? Of Nokia dumping Symbian? Of iPads and 1,187.5 Android tabs? Of webOS coming and going; Bada dito... BB booming, flopping, booming, flopping...

Yep, excellent.

AhmadCentral  Dec. 6, 2012 at 21:13

You can tell this has clearly been made up...

A 9% increase for Windows phone, like that'll ever happen!

I kid I kid!

barrybarryk  Dec. 6, 2012 at 21:36

You can tell this has clearly been made up...You mean they aren't actually from the future oO

Pondlife  Dec. 6, 2012 at 22:08

Weren't they predicting over 20% for wp in 2015 last time they played this pointless game?
Yep they were.
http://www.mobot.net/idc-reiterates-2015-predictions-place-wp7-25043
Since then
wp down about 10%
android up about 20%
Clueless...

Pondlife  Dec. 6, 2012 at 22:18

Bobby121  Dec. 7, 2012 at 02:09

Android will definitely still rule the roost... But I think Microsoft has an ace up their sleeve in Xbox Live Games... which has not been utilised no where near its potential. The reason why I say this is because everyone knows that the majority of the big name apps and high earners are games. Now that WP supports Direct X... we'll start to see the fruits by mid 2013... with the release of the Xbox Tablet... and then the new Xbox Console at the end of the year... all running on the same kernel and with Direct X support.

Stelph  Dec. 7, 2012 at 10:28

I think Blackberry will bounce back, the BB name is still very big in business and assuming RIM dont fold between now and their launch I think 2013 theyll wrestle a stronger position in the top 3, Windows won't overtake BB

Bobby121  Dec. 7, 2012 at 13:43

I think Blackberry will bounce back, the BB name is still very big in business and assuming RIM dont fold between now and their launch I think 2013 theyll wrestle a stronger position in the top 3, Windows won't overtake BB

I disagree - I think Blackberry will take a big hit in Business & Enterprise due to Windows Phone being much more secured and working more seamlessly with Microsoft Business & Enterprise products.

The ONLY thing going for Blackberry is the BBM Service which the teens still love... but how long can they keep milking that? Teens normally change fashions and trends within a blink.

JanSt / MOD  Dec. 7, 2012 at 14:11

Thing is RIM sold a lot more phones last quarter than most people like to admit.
They aren't dead, yet.

Pondlife  Dec. 7, 2012 at 14:18

So what counts as a linux phone?

JanSt / MOD  Dec. 7, 2012 at 20:11

So what counts as a linux phone?
huh?

Pondlife  Dec. 7, 2012 at 20:14

2.0% market share now. 1.5% in 2016 in that table it says Linux...

Pondlife  Dec. 7, 2012 at 22:26

Bobby121  Dec. 7, 2012 at 23:39

The thing with RIM is that they are on a downward spiral and lack an ecosystem to take em through to the future. You can't solely rely on BBM.

Email:

You don't need an account to comment. Just enter your email address. We'll keep it private.

Comment: