# Oh crystal ball, crystal ball, save us all, tell me life is beautiful # Wee bit of Keane for you there.
The analysts at IDC have been staring into their crystal ball once again, and – surprise, surprise – their predictions for smartphone market share come 2016 remain pretty much unchanged.
In particular, that means we have Google’s Android remaining in first place, Apple's iOS in second (still), and Microsoft’s thus-far-lacklustre Windows Phone screaming into third.
If we’re talking exact percentages (they’re very precise at IDC), they reckon Windows Phone will grow to 11.4%, a fairly significant leap – largely at the expense of Android. Google’s OS is expected to drop from 68.3% in 2012 to 63.8% in 2016.
As for iOS and BlackBerry OS, they’re expected to fluctuate by less than 1% from now till 2016, ending on 19.1% and 4.1% respectively.
It’s worth remembering how fickle the smartphone world is. A few years ago it was all about Symbian and BlackBerry, while the ubiquitous Android is in fact only four years old. Anything could happen between now and 2016.
And heck, it’d be pretty depressing if nothing happened, other than Windows Phone creeping up a few points. IDC acknowledges that Samsung’s Tizen and Jolla’s Sailfish are brewing away in the background. You never know…