By now we're all well aware that Android will rule the mobile universe for all eternity, gradually squeezing everyone else out until all phones run Google's operating system and resistance is utterly futile.
Or something like that, anyway. But forget Android for now – analyst firm IDC's latest crystal ball-gazing exercise concerns Windows Phone 7, which it claims will ride the momentum of the Nokia team-up to pass iOS for second place in the market by 2015.
Now, you may think that predicting the state of the mobile OS market four years into the future is much like turning on the TV tonight expecting a weather forecast for the August Bank Holiday. Next year. After all, this time four years ago the iPhone hadn't even appeared yet.
But IDC isn't letting that sort of thing stop it. The firm predicts that by 2015, Windows Phone 7 (well, whatever Microsoft is calling the platform by then, anyway) will be the guiding force behind 20.9% of smartphones, versus 15% for Apple.
Just what murky science IDC has employed to reach such precise numbers is probably irrelevant considering the odds of the figures actually being correct to that degree a full four years in the future. The point, though, is that IDC expects much of the current Symbian user base to flock over to Microsoft's platform over the next few years.
As for Android, WinPho's advance isn't likely to bother Google overly much, with IDC claiming its market share will rise from the 40% expected this year to as much as 45% four years down the line.