Recently we heard one analyst’s prediction that Android would rule the proverbial OS roost in 2016, with iOS in second place and Windows Phone 7 shoving BlackBerry into fourth.
A new forecast published by Gartner suggests Windows Phone 7 might perform even more impressively, bypassing Apple by 2015 and taking the silver medal at the OS Olympics.
Gartner reckons, by 2012, Android will appear on almost half of smartphones. It’ll (hypothetically) maintain that near-50% share through till 2015, by which point WP7 will have claimed a 19.5% share of the market.
Meanwhile, iOS will sit in third place on 17.2%, and RIM will hold 11.1% of the market. Of course, Symbian will be a dot come 2015, with an estimated 0.1% share.
So Android will still be popular, iOS and WP7 will battle it out for second place, and RIM will bring up the rear. Seriously, how much do these analyst dudes get paid?
Graph courtesy of Asymco.