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Will Windows Phone ever catch up with iOS and Android?

Do you think Windows Phone will ever catch up with iOS and Android's market share? Analysts seem convinced it'll happen, but it seems almost inconceivable at present.

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7 comments

matt101101 / MOD  Jul. 17, 2012 at 13:58

I think not, but since I can't accurately predict the future, that's pretty useless really.

JanSt / MOD  Jul. 17, 2012 at 14:42

I think not, but since I can't accurately predict the future, that's pretty useless really.
Agree...
By early 2010 a LOT of tech blogs, mobile sites etc still didn't quite believe Android would become anything but 'yet another' OS...
Likewise, not that long ago Samsung were just one of many companies far behind Nokia; and Nokia themselves thought iOS and Touch-centred OSs are no biggie...
And how many people said in 2007/2008 "never an iPhone", "never a touchscreen-only phone"...

Windows Phone has its strengths - both softwarewise, but also in terms of hardware imho.
I find many Android devices lack a wow-design or at least a solid package. The Lumia 800 and 900, but also WP devices by other OEMs beat most Android phones in that area.

But Micro$oft made quite a few mistakes. From copying iTunes to locking it up even tighter than Apple. Failure to attract must-have apps' developers - from Angry Birds to iPlayer to their very own Skype... not available or badly delayed.

Also: while WinMo was business oriented (strong email cliient, very easy to personalise and mass-deploy etc etc), WP is...well, xBox-fan focussed. Even in 2010 the world's overwhelming number of touchscreen phones ran WinMo! But users had little incentive to switch to WP!

Lets not get into lack of 'must have' features... must-haves vary from person to person.
Loadsa folks loved the 1st iPhone despite a lack of, well, most features that used to make a smartphone 'smart-'!

So, as matt says: who REALLY knows!

Personally I believe it won't gain more than a 10% share by the end of 2012. If that is enough to keep M$'s shareholders happy or enough to save Nokia and not make them switch to Android, or to re-focus on MeeGo/Symbian/S40???
Thus far the enterprise has depleted Nokia's cash-reserves, and M$, too, have mostly thrown money at it while raking in zilch in return.
Acer and other OEM partners are becoming skeptical - they obviously don't like the special treatment Nokia enjoys. And now M$ wants to compete with their partners' tab business.

Network support also is a biggie. Many of the world's carriers that supported the first WP batch and the first Nokia Lumias are now reassessing the situation. The Lumia 900 is not carried by many networks - the price and the bad news of "no Apollo" are making it a hot potato. And talking about Apollo: Three aside, the networks hate Skype. Skype however is one of the big newbs in WP Apollo...

Also (mod hat off) - I wish Microsoft disappear! They have become a relic. Once necessary in the 'evolutionary' chain, I see them as bloat mongering wannabes. But that is just me.
I still maintain: for some users a WP device is probably perfect. Value for money can be rather good. I would certainly not fault anyone for picking up one of the WP devices on offer.

Now I wouldn't take one for free (though I did own 2 shortly when the first batch came out, and I did spend time with a Lumia 800)

AhmadCentral  Jul. 17, 2012 at 20:42

Totally agree with Jan

JanSt / MOD  Jul. 17, 2012 at 22:08

Totally agree with Jan
I was gonna make that "most useful answer" hahaha but I'm humble :)
Thanks.

Pondlife  Jul. 17, 2012 at 22:37

Depends what wp8 brings to the table I guess.

JanSt / MOD  Jul. 18, 2012 at 18:05

Depends what wp8 brings to the table I guess.

True, and actually, there seems something in the package that I didn't expect: http://news.softpedia.com/news/Windows-Phone-8-to-Pack-Mass-Storage-Features-281866.shtml Mass storage support. No Zune. That is good news, indeed.

Pondlife  Jul. 18, 2012 at 22:48

Yep didn't expect that either. Definitely a good thing.
Or it could be behind Jolla's Meego and Firefox OS as well as everything else if it doesn't go well.

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